When there’s an elephant in the room you have to introduce it. Let me Sir, introduce you to BSP. The new UPA ally! Now, let me introduce the baby elephant, my opinion of the bigger elephant. IT’s NOT A MANDATE!!!
This piece comes long overdue and therefore has been significantly modified. Instead of penning down my opinion on the ‘dance of democracy’ in India and my views on why you should vote for the BJP here I am on the misnomer that we have a mandate. Now, that I have convinced you of my biased opinion no reason not to debate my sound reasoning.
The BJP point of view on the election should not take up much space and time. It did not do anything of significance in this election and yet it was the only party that did raise some valid national issues. Note I say national because there are/were a stream of regional issues brought up most of which I might not be intimately familiar with. The BJP was expected to win in the region of 130/140 seats and it ended up with about 20 below expectations. The BJP post mortem is largely uninteresting. It did not perform on expected lines in Gujrat, MP and Rajasthan. Reasons: Limit of Modi’s appeal, anti-incumbency/ wrong candidates and relative lack luster performance respectively. A +/- 20 is not a big setback for the saffron party. Yes, Advani failed to deliver Delhi and any further analysis on the topic will be further done in the blog titled ‘BJP tomorrow’.
The 200+ performance of the Congress is clearly the story of the show according to everyone on Dallal Street. Three states namely Tamil Nadu, Andhra and UP being the stories in ascending order. Now let me remind you of my opinion once again. It’s not a mandate. Here is why:
Tamil Nadu: Even the Congress did not expect this one. It was largely, I think a master stroke which was unintended. For those critics out there who would say that Congress persisted with DMK should, I think, rephrase. The Congress persisted with its only option in the state. Quoting a Congress spokesperson which I fail to remember at this point ‘We will not ally with zero’. Such was the Congress reading of the state. Amma had virtually captured the imagination of one and all and I think the only reason why DMK won was its approach to the current issue in Sri Lanka. Of those who failed to catch the fine print, Karunanidhi’s ‘Prabhakaran is a friend’ speech with Sonia Gandhi besides him might have found favor in Tamil politics. Now, I am not well read on the topic but it seems that the Congress let this issue pass looking at it as a largely useless demand from its ally. Now, let me rephrase that. Sonia Gandhi let the Congress ally openly support LTTE, the same organization responsible for the assassination of our 7th Prime Minister and her late husband Rajiv Gandhi. This is the party we have at the Centre! The repercussions of this in the long run I think are largely none considering the big issue of Pakistan facing us right now and India’s famous non existent diplomatic policy.
Advani coined the term pseudo-secularism. He also pointed out the hidden synonym, vote bank politics. Advani’s Rath Yatra was a reason not to vote for him. His understanding of the Congress party was one to do so. AP was yet another example of the glorious vote bank politics that the Congress used on its way to the Centre, yet again. One can let the LTTE issue slide. It is not going to affect anyone. What about the Telangana issue? Now, I really have no opinion one way or the other on this issue but I think political parties should. The Congress did. It was for it. It was fine. Then after the round of elections in the Telangana region ended, Congress had another opinion. Can you guess? You might not agree with BJP on the Ram janmbhoomi. But you have to give it to them. They have an opinion to which they stick. A piece of trivia while we are on the topic. The Ayodhya issue had been lobbied intensely in courts for about 20 years before 1992. It was these frustrations that lead to the rise of BJP. The BJP is not a party that wants the temple. It represents the VHP and the RSS which do. Coming back to AP, and the reasons why Congress won. Pro-Congress people, which by the way are not the same as pro-secularism, would point out to some 5 lettered schemes which worked in AP. They might have. I am all for them. But then this reason is no different than JD(U) doing well in Bihar or BJP doing well in Gujrat. The Congress did not have a ‘mandate’ on its development schemes. It secured a mandate on its twisted schemes.
The most fun part of the election has been the biggest irony of them all. This one is almost like a movie script. Once upon a time there was a very important state in India. Congress made a bold move of going alone. They made it on the backs the confident Rahul. Rahul ran a SRK style campaign in the state. Rahul’s mother supported him. It was a no loss game. No one expected Rahul to win. If he did he would be hailed as a Hero. If he did not his mommy would have shrugged it off. Now, I do not want to belittle the Congress performance in UP. 21 seats is a catch. But how one should ask! Why did people of UP vote for Congress and Rahul Gandhi. Development, promise of development? Issues, which? What, why? These 20 seats is the reason they say the Congress has a mandate. These 20 seats! Where did they come from? Well, that is an easy answer. They came from BSP and SP. The Congress obviously provided people with an alternative and somehow convinced them that they were better. The people listened to them. They were frustrated with the politics of the SP and BSP which interestingly are parties that rose to significance because of a lack of Congress performance. Now, the Congress claimed to be their savior and then F***** them in the ass. I would be a pretty frustrated UP voter if I saw the SP and BSP join the government. Didn’t UP just vote against them? Now the irony! The UPA did not even need them in the first place. It has enough numbers to scramble through with a few inconsequential smaller parties and independents. If it needs a more stable alliance and numbers in the Rajya Sabha , as some might argue, to pass reforms it could still do with just one of them. I fail to see an issue, a policy, any logic and any reasoning behind the alliance that is all set to form the government in the 15th Lok Sabha. I see the ironies. I see that the government, on the backs of which the BSE rallied a record 2100 points in two minutes, includes a party which wanted to ban computers in its manifesto. Sadly it’s a pathetic joke.
This is not a mandate. This is vote bank politics. The Congress placed itself at the right places either by chance or by good organization. A mandate is on issues. What is the Congress’s solution to the Swiss bank accounts issues raised by Advani? What is the Congress’s solution to Telangana? What is the Congress’s solution to the fundamentalist Hindutva preached by the VHP? There is none.
More importantly, where does our foreign policy relations with the US stand? Are we going to sign the NPT? Are we going to support in a military offensive in Pakistan? Are we lobbying to stop the money inflow from the US to Pakistan? These are the questions that should have been asked by a few if not all.
The only good news is that we have a stable government with a good PM. Yes, I do think that Manmohan Singh is good in the current economic scenario in India. The bulls on Dallal St. might be irrationally exuberant. But their optimism is not misplaced. The downside is we need to realize that this is not a mandate. India has not spoken. Far from it! Varun Gandhi won by one of the biggest margins in this Lok Sabha. That part of India is angry. The Congress does not represent any one face of India. Almost all other parties have a base votership which they represent in the parliament. BJP and Congress are the only two national parties we have. The BJP has spoken. It has lost. I would like to hear Congress’s opinion. And I think India has to make sure it’s not vote bank politics.